According to a recent Harvard CAPS-Harris survey, there has been a significant shift in public opinion for the 2024 presidential race. Former President Donald Trump now leads President Biden by seven percentage points in a hypothetical head-to-head contest.
This change is particularly noticeable among Independents and suburban residents who previously supported Biden but are now leaning towards Trump. Trump has solidified his support among key demographics, including Caucasians, males, and rural voters. The survey also shows Trump’s advantage among suburban voters, Independents, and young voters under 35.
While there is a statistical tie between Trump and Biden among college-educated voters, Trump’s appeal among those without a college degree has widened. The shift in support can be attributed to concerns about economic and foreign policy matters.
Trump also maintains a commanding lead among GOP primary voters compared to Governor Ron DeSantis. Trump’s popularity is rising among various Republican Party segments, including young people, minority groups, Independents, and lower-income voters.
The findings suggest a significant surge in support for Trump, driven by economic and foreign policy concerns and dissatisfaction with the current administration. These shifts have the potential to influence the primaries and general election outcomes.
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